China owns the largest automotive market globally. The Chinese commercial truck market is expected to experience a slight negative growth at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.4% during 2017–2025. This is mainly due to High base effect of HD vehicles in 2017. The high sales was due to new replacement demand and anti-overloading policy On the competitive front market which is highly concentrated and led by Foton, Dongfeng, JAC, FAW, and CNHTC in China, with a joint market share of 53.7% across light-duty, medium-duty, and heavy-duty truck segments in 2017.
Digital freight brokerage, rise of Chinese trucks, and new energy powertrain are the key growth opportunities that will drive demand for trucks during the long term. Rise of E-commerce to improve logistics service and fleets’ driving experience in China.
In the next 3-4 years the implementation of China VI regulations across light , medium and heavy duty trucks will see the advent of advanced diesel engine technologies and alternate powertrain options from leading Chinese OEMs.
Diesel powertrain is expected to continue its dominance in the Chinese commercial truck market during the long term. Nevertheless, emission standard restriction, purchase incentive offered by both central and regional governments, as well as new launch of truck models are motivating the market adoption of new energy powertrain solution during the long term. Light-duty truck will continue to enhance its largest market share among truck segment, accounting for 62.6% of new truck sales in 2025.
Cold chain is targeted to be one of the fastest growing logistics businesses especially in the light-duty segment in China; key involvements are fresh food and take-away catering.
Research Scope
The aim of this study is to research, analyze, and forecast emerging commercial truck platform strategies in the light-duty, medium-duty, and heavy-duty commercial truck market. The study presents a strategic growth opportunity insight into the Chinese commercial truck market and its impact on the growing trends up to 2025.
Research Highlights
- To provide a strategic perspective of the freight market in China, including key macro-economic factors.
- To provide market size and sales potential of light-duty, medium-duty, and heavy-duty commercial trucks up to 2025.
- To estimate potential and penetration of alternate powertrains such as natural gas and xEV in Chinese light , medium and heavy duty trucks.
- To provide market size and forecasts for freight brokerage solutions for 2017-2025.
- To present an actionable set of recommendations for stakeholders to grow in the commercial truck market in China.
Key Issues Addressed
- What is the market size of light-duty, medium-duty, and heavy-duty commercial trucks up to 2025?
- What is the impact of freight demand on commercial truck transformation in China?
- How will the Chinese road freight brokerage market evolve by 2025 along with market share of key solution types and market revenue opportunity ?
- What are the current scenario and future outlook of alternate powertrain in China including xEV and natural gas trucks in China?
- What is the key commercial truck market transformation outlook of adopting global logistics trends attaching with
Key Conclusion
The research discusses market overview, Mega Trends, and industry convergence implications, logistics market in China, digital freight brokerage, rise of Chinese trucks, Electrical Charging standard, Electrical Charging infrastructure new energy powertrain, market drivers and restraints, forecasts and trends, market share, and competitive analysis and growth opportunities. The study closes with conclusions and future outlook.
Author: Saideep Sudhakar

Key Takeaways
Hyper-fragmented Chinese Freight Market
Key Trends in the Chinese Commercial Vehicle Market
China Tailpipe and Greenhouse Gas (GHG)/Fuel Efficiency Regulations
China Commercial Vehicle Market—Powertrain Split
China’s Focus Towards Fuel-cell Vehicles
Executive Summary—Key Findings and Future Outlook
Research Scope
Research Aims and Objectives
Key Questions This Study Will Answer
Research Background
Research Methodology
Commercial Vehicle Segmentation
Commercial Truck Definitions
Road Transportation Market—China Market
Road Transportation and Logistics
Road Transportation Market—Truck Transportation China Market
eCommerce Market in China
Road Transportation Market—Trucking Fleets in China
Road Freight Market Structure—FTL/LTL and Express Services
Key Trends and Disruptors Affecting Road Freight Transportation
Key Trends and Disruptors Affecting Road Freight Transportation
Market Drivers
Drivers Explained
Market Restraints
Restraints Explained
Forecast and Trends—Unit Shipment Forecast by Segments
China Forecast Considerations
China Alternate Powertrain Market
China Alternate Powertrain Market: Key Influencing Trends
Key Trends in the LCV Market
China Stage VI Emission Standard for LDV
China LDV Fuel Efficiency Standards
China LD Truck Market—Competitive Analysis
Competitive Analysis—LDT Market Breakdown by OEM
China LD xEV Truck Snapshot
China—LD Truck Market: Powertrain Forecast
China LD Electric Truck Forecast
Profile—Foton Ollin CTS Series
Profile—Dongfeng
Key Trends in the MCV Market
China MD Truck Market—Competitive Analysis
Competitive Analysis—MDT Market Breakdown by OEMs
China MD xEV Truck Snapshot
China MD NG Truck Snapshot
China—MD Truck Market: Powertrain Forecast
China MD Electric Truck Forecast
Profile—Dongfeng Tianjin
Profile—Dongfeng Tianjin BEV
Key Trends in the HCV Market
China PEMS for China V HDVs
China Emission Regulations
China Fuel Efficiency Standards
China HD Truck Market—Competitive Analysis
Competitive Analysis—HDT Market Breakdown by OEMs
China HD xEV Truck Snapshot
China HD NG Truck Snapshot
China—HD Truck Market: Powertrain Forecast
Chinese HD Electric Truck Forecast
Profile—FAW Jiefang
Profile—Shaanxi X3000
Natural Gas Reserves in China
Natural Gas Pricing Reform in China
Natural Gas Station Overview in China
China’s Major Regions for Shale Gas and LNG Terminals
Electric Vehicle Charging Stations in China’s Provinces
Public Electric Vehicle Charging Infrastructure in Chinese Cities
Comparison of Global DC Charging Standards
CEC and CHAdeMO Collaboration on Ultra-fast Charging Standard
Chinese Central Government Incentives on Electric CVs
Chinese Central Government Incentives on Hydrogen Infrastructure
China Tech Requirement for NEV Subsidies
Fuel Cell Electric Trucks—Purchase Incentive by Regional Governments
Digital Freight Brokerage Business Model
Market Opportunities, Challenges, and Technological Enablers
China Digital Brokerage Solution: A $1.0 Billion Market by 2025
China On-Demand Solutions: Chance to be a $22.58 Billion Market
Manbang Group—Company Profile
Manbang Group—Product Portfolio
Fuyoukache—Company Profile
Fuyoukache—Product Portfolio
Growth Opportunity—Commercial Truck Market in China
Strategic Imperatives for Success and Growth
Key Conclusions
The Last Word—3 Big Predictions
Legal Disclaimer
Abbreviations and Acronyms Used
Abbreviations and Acronyms Used (continued)
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Research Scope
The aim of this study is to research, analyze, and forecast emerging commercial truck platform strategies in the light-duty, medium-duty, and heavy-duty commercial truck market. The study presents a strat
| Deliverable Type | Market Research |
|---|---|
| No Index | No |
| Podcast | No |
| Author | Saideep Sudhakar |
| Industries | Automotive |
| WIP Number | K312-01-00-00-00 |
| Is Prebook | No |
| GPS Codes | 9673-A6,9800-A6,9B01-A6,9963-A6,9882-A6,9AF6-A6 |
Chinese Commercial Vehicle Market Opportunity Analysis, 2017–2025
Alternate Powertrain Truck Sales Including Natural Gas (NG) and Electric Vehicle (xEV) to Reach 925,000 Units in 2025
11-Apr-2019
Asia Pacific
Market Research
