Generating energy, specifically renewable natural gas (RNG), from landfill gas (LFG), is an opportunity that has been gaining momentum in recent years. In 2018, the United States generated 292.4 million tons of waste, 146.1 million tons of which were sent to landfills. These landfills are one of the main emitters of methane, a greenhouse gas with a much higher heating capacity than carbon dioxide. When captured, methane can be used as a renewable fuel for power generation, heat application, and vehicle fuel.
This Frost & Sullivan study focuses on the LFG-to-RNG industry, analyzing the factors influencing its growth. With climate change mitigation now acknowledged as critically urgent, there is an increase in government support for converting LFG into RNG. The study analyzes the factors driving and restraining the LFG-to-RNG industry and identifies the opportunities emerging from the changes in this space for market players and stakeholders to leverage. The study also offers relevant market metrics, forecasts, and forecast analyses for this industry. It examines the key policies and regulations influencing LFG-to-RNG projects, analyzes treatment methods, and provides an overview of the landfills in the United States. It also highlights the leading players in this space as well as the key projects, both planned and under construction. The base year is 2023, and the forecast period is from 2024 to 2033.
Revenue Forecast:
The revenue estimate for the base year 2023 in the Growth Opportunities in the US Landfill Gas to Renewable Natural Gas Industry is $11.65 billion, with a projected CAGR of 5.8% from 2023 to 2033.
Segmentation
LFG to RNG
Landfill Operation & Management
- Includes the revenue associated with gate fees.
LFG Collection & Filtration Technology
- Landfill gas collection, treatment, and filtration systems.
- Includes primary treatment (knockout pots, filters, blowers), secondary treatment (moisture removal, sulfur removal, compressors), and advanced treatment (CO?, N?, O?, and VOC removal, compressors) technologies.
Renewable Power & Fuel Generation
- Includes gen sets, transformers, and liquefier technology.
Renewable Fuel
- Pipelines and grids for distribution.
- Includes revenue from fuel sales.
Note: VOC = Volatile Organic Compounds.
RNG Operational Projects
- The number of RNG landfill projects in the United States has doubled over the last ten years, and this trend is expected to continue in the years to come. With the projects slated for the upcoming years, the number of RNG projects at various landfills is expected to nearly double again over the next ten years, to over 150 by 2024.
- RNG is now more expensive than NG, and as production expenses and landfill gate fees are linked to an increase in the future, its value may rise in addition to being multiplied by its production volume in the coming years. As the demand for RNG keeps increasing across industries as a renewable energy source and substitute for NG, the market for it will expand and its revenue will grow.
- The shift from traditional fuels to green energy for heavy transportation will be spearheaded by biomethane in place of NG. By using the gas in garbage collection vehicles, landfill RNG producers are spearheading this shift. This highlights the potential for the waste market to transition to a circular economy.
The Impact of the Top 3 Strategic Imperatives
Transformative Mega Trends
Why
- Governments and markets play a significant role in the uptake of LFG-to-RNG projects, with climate change mitigation now acknowledged as critically urgent.
- Such initiatives have developed in the wake of favorable regulations created by both the Global Methane Pledge and the US Methane Emissions Reduction Action Plan.
Frost Perspective
- The market for LFG management is poised for significant growth, with hundreds of projects slated to come online in the coming years. This aligns with the US government's aspiration to cut greenhouse gas emissions by 2030.
Disruptive Technologies
Why
- The rapid move to cut greenhouse gas emissions and demand for RNG is driving new methane capture-and-conversion approaches. Although the primary focus historically has been electricity generation, RNG production to support heavy transport is now becoming significant.
Frost Perspective
- Advanced technology spurs the fast growth of the US LFG-to-RNG market.
- A particularly compelling opportunity for RNG as a fuel in heavy vehicles is that the sector offers an emission reduction solution that enables industry participants to achieve their net-zero ambitions.
Competitive Intensity
Why
- This space is highly concentrated, with a few major players dominating the industry. However, consolidation trends and strong sector interest are likely to increase competition.
Frost Perspective
- Market expansion is on the horizon because of LFG-to-RNG conversion's popularity within the industry, greater renewable energy demand, and pressure to lower greenhouse gas emissions. The use of new technologies in RNG production will help create a more competitive environment and encourage innovation.
Why is it Increasingly Difficult to Grow?
The Strategic Imperative 8™
The Impact of the Top 3 Strategic Imperatives on the Landfill Gas (LFG) to Renewable Natural Gas (RNG) Industry
Growth Opportunities Fuel the Growth Pipeline Engine™
6P Framework Shaping the Sustainability and Circular Economy of the LFG-to-RNG Industry
Scope of Analysis
Segmentation
Growth Metrics
Growth Drivers
Growth Restraints
Revenue Forecast
Federal Policies and Regulations for RNG
State Policies and Regulations for RNG
RNG Sources, Gas Treatment, and End Uses
Overview of US Landfills
Sources of Methane Emissions in the United States
Share of Landfills by Company
RNG Market Overview
RNG Market Overview (continued)
RNG Operational Projects
LFG Energy Projects by US State
Value Chain
Value Chain (continued)
Companies to Watch
Companies to Watch (continued)
Growth Opportunity 1: Enhanced LFG Capture and Utilization
Growth Opportunity 1: Enhanced LFG Capture and Utilization (continued)
Growth Opportunity 2: RNG as a Bridge Fuel for Zero-emission Vehicles
Growth Opportunity 2: RNG as a Bridge Fuel for Zero-emission Vehicles (continued)
Growth Opportunity 3: Integration of RNG with Other Renewable Energies
Growth Opportunity 3: Integration of RNG with Other Renewable Energies (continued)
RNG Projects, Under Construction and Planned
RNG Projects, Under Construction and Planned (continued)
RNG Projects, Under Construction and Planned (continued)
RNG Projects, Under Construction and Planned (continued)
RNG Projects, Under Construction and Planned (continued)
RNG Projects, Under Construction and Planned (continued)
RNG Projects, Under Construction and Planned (continued)
RNG Projects, Under Construction and Planned (continued)
RNG Projects, Under Construction and Planned (continued)
RNG Projects, Under Construction and Planned (continued)
List of Exhibits
Legal Disclaimer
List of Figures- LFG to RNG: Growth Metrics, Global, 2023–2033
- LFG to RNG: Growth Drivers, United States, 2024–2033
- LFG to RNG: Growth Restraints, United States, 2024–2033
- LFG to RNG: Revenue Forecast, United States, 2023–2033
- LFG to RNG: Share of Landfills by Region, United States, 2023
- LFG to RNG: Occupied Capacity of Landfills by Region, United States, 2023
- LFG to RNG: Average Cost to Landfill MSW per ton by Region, United States, 2023
- LFG to RNG: Methane Emissions by Source, United States, 2022
- LFG to RNG: Share of Landfills by Company, United States, 2022
- LFG to RNG: Share of Landfills by Company, United States, 2023
- LFG to RNG: Landfill RNG Operating Projects, United States, 2011–2026
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Generating energy, specifically renewable natural gas (RNG), from landfill gas (LFG), is an opportunity that has been gaining momentum in recent years. In 2018, the United States generated 292.4 million tons of waste, 146.1 million tons of which were sent to landfills. These landfills are one of the main emitters of methane, a greenhouse gas with a much higher heating capacity than carbon dioxide. When captured, methane can be used as a renewable fuel for power generation, heat application, and vehicle fuel.
This Frost & Sullivan study focuses on the LFG-to-RNG industry, analyzing the factors influencing its growth. With climate change mitigation now acknowledged as critically urgent, there is an increase in government support for converting LFG into RNG. The study analyzes the factors driving and restraining the LFG-to-RNG industry and identifies the opportunities emerging from the changes in this space for market players and stakeholders to leverage. The study also offers relevant market metrics, forecasts, and forecast analyses for this industry. It examines the key policies and regulations influencing LFG-to-RNG projects, analyzes treatment methods, and provides an overview of the landfills in the United States. It also highlights the leading players in this space as well as the key projects, both planned and under construction. The base year is 2023, and the forecast period is from 2024 to 2033.
| Deliverable Type | Market Research |
|---|---|
| Author | Victoria Courtade |
| Industries | Energy |
| No Index | No |
| Is Prebook | No |
| Keyword 1 | Landfill Gas to RNG |
| Keyword 2 | Renewable Natural Gas Growth |
| Keyword 3 | US Clean Energy Solutions |
| List of Charts and Figures | LFG to RNG: Growth Metrics, Global, 2023–2033~ LFG to RNG: Growth Drivers, United States, 2024–2033~ LFG to RNG: Growth Restraints, United States, 2024–2033~ LFG to RNG: Revenue Forecast, United States, 2023–2033~ LFG to RNG: Share of Landfills by Region, United States, 2023~ LFG to RNG: Occupied Capacity of Landfills by Region, United States, 2023~ LFG to RNG: Average Cost to Landfill MSW per ton by Region, United States, 2023~ LFG to RNG: Methane Emissions by Source, United States, 2022~ LFG to RNG: Share of Landfills by Company, United States, 2022~ LFG to RNG: Share of Landfills by Company, United States, 2023~ LFG to RNG: Landfill RNG Operating Projects, United States, 2011–2026~ |
| Podcast | No |
| Predecessor | K81C-01-00-00-0 |
| WIP Number | KAF6-01-00-00-00 |
Growth Opportunities in the US Landfill Gas to Renewable Natural Gas Industry
Growth Opportunities in the US Landfill Gas to Renewable Natural Gas Industry
Upgrading Landfill Gas to Renewable Natural Gas will Help Align with Regulatory Standards and Reduce Methane Emissions
RELEASE DATE
26-Sep-2024
26-Sep-2024
REGION
North America
North America
Deliverable Type
Market Research
Market Research
Research Code: KAF6-01-00-00-00
SKU: EG_2024_1034
$2,450.00
In stock
SKU
EG_2024_1034