The Impact of the Top 3 Strategic Imperatives on the Defense Environmental Sustainability Industry

Transformative Mega Trends

• Why: The US Department of Defense (DoD) has stewardship over approximately 27 million acres of land, crucial to the military's training, operational readiness, and resilience. However, these ecosystems and landscapes are vulnerable to climate change, making adaptation, mitigation, and resilience a priority.
• Frost Perspective: To ensure long-term sustainability and cost-effectiveness, the DoD will consider privatizing utility operation and maintenance at military installations and facilities. RD&T&E will likely concentrate on natural and nature-based solutions, plant-based composites, biofuels, and more.

Competitive Intensity

• Why: The DoD aims to build upon commercially available technologies to drive innovation, cost-effectiveness, and long-term sustainability. The department's environmental sustainability programs are lowering the industry barriers and promoting competitive intensity.
• Frost Perspective: The defense environmental sustainability industry will continue to be fragmented for the foreseeable future. The participation of small and medium enterprises and start-ups will grow with an increase in competitive grants and awards.

Industry Convergence

• Why: An interdisciplinary approach is essential to address the multi-faceted impacts of climate change on the defense sector. Collaborations among the government, military, academia, and the private sector are imperative to accelerate and scale-up technology developments.
• Frost Perspective: There will be growing adoption of commercially available green technologies to support cost-effectiveness. Artificial intelligence (AI), machine learning (ML), and augmented reality (AR) will be crucial for modeling and stimulating climate-induced impacts.

Competitive Environment

Growth Drivers

• The DoD’s climate action plans and strategies will support technology advancements in natural and nature-based solutions, plant-based composites, renewable energy, biofuel, and water and energy efficiency.
• The DoD plans to privatize utility and housing operations across its military installations to streamline, sustain, and lower the cost of environmental projects. Private sector companies specializing in pollution monitoring and reduction and in water efficiency may benefit as the privatization program expands.
• The adoption of commercially available environmental technologies will support scalability through public-private partnerships. Technology share and collaboration among industry participants will improve the cost-effectiveness and long-term sustainability of environmental initiatives.

Growth Restraints

• Presently available methods and technologies for environmental remediation are usually costly and energy- and resource-intensive. The limited availability of cost-effective and greener alternatives may impede industry growth.
• Federal, state, and local legislative compliance regulations, such as zonal codes, building standards, and ambiguous environmental plans, may impede effective implementation of restoration projects.
• Although spending on defense environmental sustainability projects has maintained steady growth, growing national insecurities amid turbulent geopolitical climates may result in funding reclassification as defense priorities shift.